The Pentagon’s Joint Artificial Intelligence Center has awarded a $93.3 million contract to General Atomics Aeronautical Systems Inc (GA-ASI), makers of the MQ-9 Reaper, to equip the drone with new AI technology. The aim is for the Reaper to be able to carry out autonomous flight, decide where to direct its battery of sensors, and to recognize objects on the ground. The contract, announced at the end of last month, builds on a successful test earlier this year.
In some ways this is not a major development, more of an incremental step using existing technology. What makes it significant is the drone that is being equipped, and what it will be able to do afterwards.
Military drones are notoriously backward when it comes to on-board intelligence, even compared to their tiny cousins in the consumer world. You can buy a drone like the SkyDio 2 which can carry out a complete flight on its own, taking off and locking on to the owner to autonomously shoot video of them while they surf, ski or skateboard, then landing automatically afterwards. By contrast, military drones need a remote pilot to take off and land, and a payload operator to point the cameras and other sensors at the target (not to mention launching missiles).
The biggest drone manpower requirement is PED — processing, exploitation and dissemination – the teams of analysts who look through hours and hours of high-resolution video, trying to determine whether people on the ground are mending a pothole or planting an IED, whether someone is carrying a mortar tube, an RPG or just a length of pipe, and similar challenges. This is something AI, especially machine learning, might help with.
In September, the Air Force announced that General Atomics had flown a Reaper fitted with a new device known as an Agile Condor pod under its wing for the first time.
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Agile Condor, which has been in development by the Air Force Research Laboratory for some years, is effectively a flying supercomputer – ‘high-performance embedded computing ‘ — optimized for artificial intelligence applications. Built by SRC Inc, it packs the maximum computing capacity into the minimum space, with the lowest possible power requirements. Its modular architecture is built around machine learning (suggesting a lot of GPUs or other processors optimized for parallel processing) and the makers anticipate upgrades to neuromorphic computing hardware which mimics the human brain.
One of the key aims of Agile Condor is speeding up the PED process. At the mass of data is beams back to an operations center , as far as the bandwidth allows, and then pored over to extract information. Agile Condor’s AI should be able to do all that instantly without needing to send the data anywhere.
“Instead of taking hours, sometimes days or even weeks – decisions can now be made in near real-time. If the system detects an anomaly on the ground, warfighters are alerted within minutes, allowing them to investigate and act while it’s still relevant,” according to SRC’s page on Agile Condor.
It also opens up the possibility of the Reaper operating on its own. An Air Force slide of the Agile Condor concept of operations shows the drone losing both its communications link and GPS navigation at the start of its mission. An existing Reaper would circle in place or fly back to try and re-establish communications; the AI-boosted version uses its AI to navigate using landmarks and find the target area – as well as spotting threats on the ground and changing its flight path to avoid them.
The Agile Condor was evidently a success, and the new contract suggests that the Air Force wants more of this.
“This will bring a tremendous increase in unmanned systems capabilities for applications across the full-range of military operations,” said GA-ASI Vice President of Strategic Development J.R. Reid in a press release.
Of course when most people think about Reaper operations they think about drone strikes on terrorists and insurgents. When it comes to autonomous weapons, the Pentagon’s stated policy is always that a human operator will always make the firing decision, this policy has some flexibility: it simply demands “appropriate levels of human judgment,” whatever that means.
Nobody is suggesting that the AI-equipped Reapers will be carrying out autonomous strike missions if communication is impossible; but this might become a tempting possibility as the technology evolves. And, as Forbes has previously noted, the U.S. has changed it stance on Reaper exports, leading to a slew of recent deals including with the UAE and even Morocco. If an AI upgrade is available, there are likely to be plenty of takers. The capability would certainly keep the Reaper ahead of the growing competition from Chinese, Turkish and Israeli drone makers, but the U.S. might have little say in how it was used.